Churchill on Risk Management

Here’s an excellent quote form Winston Churchill, eminently applicable as the proper attitude to adopt in risk management.  The sentence comes after Churchill summarises the beliefs and convictions taken by the then British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain on what Hitler will do the the limits of what he will do, taking the position that he (Chamberlain) has taken the measure of Hitler, and that he (Hitler) has satisfied his territorial conquest needs:

“The Prime Minister is persuaded that… He believes that… Mr. Chamberlain is convinced that… But all this lies in the region of hope and speculation.  A  whole set of contrary possibilities must be held in mind.  He may ask us to submit to things which we cannot endure; he may be forced to ask us to submit to things which we cannot endure.”  (Churchill, the Second World War Volume 1, The Gathering Storm)

I like this ‘a whole set of contrary possibilities must be held in mind’ assertion.  For this is what risk management is about – that things may not work out as we thought, or hoped, and we must be able to survive and recover when they do.

The Ten Qualities of Good Requirements

A solid database design provides a firm and extensible base an organisation’s data.  A well-architected solution brings with it a sense of integrity and elegance that allows systems to be extended easily, and yet retain its integrity.

If any of these are badly done, the resulting solution is flaky, troublesome, and a menace to update.

But bad requirements are even worse, for they are our map to what should be built.  If the requirement is wrong, the solution built is wrong.  If the requirement has gaps, then the solution will have gaps.  If the requirement is misunderstood, then the solution is wrong.

There is an art to producing requirements.

1. Requirements Must Have an Owner

2. Requirements Must be Singular

3. Requirements Must be On the System and Not the Operator

4. Requirements Must be Unambiguous

5. Requirements Must Not Specify the Solution

6. Requirements Must have a Rationale

7. Requirements Must be Tied to the Concept of Operations

8. Requirements Must be Justified

9. Requirements Must be Prioritised

10. Requirements Must be Contextualised

Comparing the BABOK and the SEBOK, Part 5

I want to take a second look at the Knowledge Areas identified by the BABOK and those by the SEBOK, specifically where there is an overlap between the two sets. 

I want to do this in preparation for a deeper comparison of their treatments of their Knowledge Areas and Tasks and Activities.

The table below lists the Knowledge Areas for the BABOK, and what to me might be the corresponding Knowledge Area addressed in the SEBOK.  As can be immediately seen, the SEBOK Knowledge Areas cover a lot more topics.

BABOK Knowledge Area	SEBOK Knowledge Area	Remarks
	Systems Fundamentals
	Systems Science
	Representing Systems with Models
	Systems Approach Applied to Engineered Systems
	Life Cycle Models
	System Deployment and Use
	Product and Service Life Management
	Systems Engineering Standard
Business Analysis Planning and Monitoring
Elicitation	Concept Definition	This SEBOK KA contains the following Activities: Mission Analysis Stakeholder Needs and Requirements
Requirements Management and Communication	System Definition Systems Engineering Management	“Requirements Management” is very briefly treated in the SEBOK under the “System Requirements” topic, which is under the System Definition KA. Configuration Management is considered part of the BABOK KA “Requirements Management and Communication”. In the SEBOK, Configuration Management is discussed under the Systems Engineering Management KA
Enterprise Analysis	Concept Definition	This SEBOK KA contains the following Activities: Mission Analysis Stakeholder Needs and Requirements
Requirements Analysis	System Definition	The topic of "System Requirements” addresses assessing the quality of the requirements and their prioritisation. System Requirements is a topic under the KA System System Definition
Solution Assessment and Validation	System Realization	This SEBOK KA contains the following Activities: System Implementation System Integration System Verification System Validation
	Product Systems Engineering
	Service Systems Engineering
	Enterprise Systems Engineering
	System of Systems
	Enabling Businesses and Enterprises
	Enabling Teams
Underlying Competencies	Systems Thinking Enabling Individuals
	Systems Engineering and Software Engineering
	Systems Engineering and Project Management
	Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering
	Systems Engineering and Procurement / Acquisition
	Systems Engineering and Specialty Engineering

In the next post on this topic, I will start comparing the contents of the matching Knowledge Areas.

Comparing the BABOK and the SEBOK, Part 4

In this post I’ll compare how the two documents structure their presentation of a Knowledge Area (KA).

BABOK Knowledge Area Structure

The BABOK discusses each of its KA in turn.  The discussion starts with a short overview of the KA,  followed by an Input / Output Diagram showing the Tasks under that KA, the Inputs required by the Tasks, and the Outputs generated by the Tasks (and by extension the KA).

The core of the Knowledge Area is its Tasks, and the BABOK structures the presentation of the KA around the Tasks.  Each Tasks is described in turn using the following sections:

1. Purpose of the Task – brief explanation of the focus of the Task.
2. Description – usually more details about the Task.
3. Input – a list of information (typically documents) needed for performing the Task, also describing why each Input is used for.  This section is accompanied by a context diagram showing the Task, the Inputs it requires, the Task Outputs, and downstream Tasks using the Outputs as Inputs.
4. Elements – describes considerations relevant to the Task which need to be addressed for a successful execution of the Task.
5. Techniques – lists the most common techniques used in performing the task.  Techniques are methods or tools such as ‘Interviewing’, or ‘Brainstorming’.  All of the Techniques are described in more detail in Chapter 9, so this section is just a listing.
6. Stakeholders – is a list of organisation titles generally involved or interested in the Task execution.
7. Output – a list of the Outputs of the Task (generally documents).

SEBOK Knowledge Area Structure

As we have seen in the previous post, the SEBOK has many more KA’s than the BABOK.  Not only are there many more, the scope is more extensive.  Whereas the BABOK KA’s are narrow enough that one can expect every practicing BA to be knowledgeable at a professional level in ALL the KA’s (though perhaps not all the Techniques), the SEBOK KA’s are so expansive, it is unlikely that a majority of professional SEs would have high quality proficiency in all the SEBOK KAs.

Each KA is divided into Topics (contrast with ‘Tasks’ for the BABOK), which confusingly is also called ‘Activities’.  The KA itself is described in great detail (far greater than what is done in the BABOK).  After which a list of Reference work is provided.

After providing a detailed discussion of the KA, each of the Activities under that KA are discussed using the following structure:

1. Introduction – brief narrative about the Topic 
2. Purpose and Definition – detailed description of the Topic / Activity
3. Principles and Concepts - key concepts one needs to know about the Topic.  Depending on the topic being discussed, this can be fairly comprehensive.
4. Process Approach / Activities of the Process – description of the subtasks performed for the Activity
5. Artifacts – listing of most common outputs (generally documents) for the Activity
6. Methods and Modeling Techniques – listing and description of key Techniques one can expect to be used to perform this Activity.  (For the most part, the SEBOK uses the single-ell spelling ‘modeling’, but sometimes also uses ‘modelling’)‘
7. Practical Considerations – tips and lessons learned from the trenches.  
8. References – comprehensive list of Works Cited, Primary References, and Additional References relevant to the Activity.  Since the SEBOK is merely a 'Guide’ to the Body of Knowledge, this References section makes eminent sense – it points to where the reader can go to get more of the Knowledge.

Comparison of the Structures

The table below compares the KA presentation structure of the two BOKs

BABOK	SEBOK	Remarks
Overview	Introduction	Neither of these sections are titled as such.  Both sections are untitled narratives.
Purpose of the Task	Purpose and Definition
Description	Purpose and Definition
Input		It is very surprising that SEBOK seems to have no equivalent section
Elements	Principles and Concepts Practical Considerations
	Process Approach / Activities of the Process	The BABOK has no equivalent
Techniques	Methods and Modeling Techniques
Stakeholders		The SEBOK has no equivalent section
Output	Artifacts
	References	The BABOK references are all collected at the end of the Guide, where it is far less useful for someone wanting to know more about a specific Task.

Investing Bibliography

Value Investing

Calandro, Joseph. Applied Value Investing: The Practical Applications of Benjamin Graham's and Warren Buffett's Valuation Principles to Acquisitions, Catastrophe Pricing, and Business Execution. 2009.

Graham, Benjamin, and David L. Dodd. Security Analysis. 1996.

Graham, Benjamin, and Jason Zweig. The Intelligent Investor. 2003.

Klarman, Seth A. Margin of Safety: Risk-averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor. 1991.

Comparing the BABOK and the SEBOK, Part 3

Knowledge Areas are subject matters of core interest to a profession or discipline.  They are the sort of knowledge often required to live the profession.  In the medical profession, a knowledge area might include physiology, how the body functions.  For project managers, an example might be scope management.

Knowledge Areas

For the BABOK, Knowledge Areas:

define what a practitioner of business analysis needs to understand and the tasks a practitioner must be able to perform.

In other words, it is an area that a Business Analyst should have knowledge on.

For the SEBOK, Knowledge Areas:

are groupings of information with a related theme

The SEBOK is reluctant to assert that an SE must know about the Knowledge Areas (henceforth KAs), whereas the BABOK claims the KAs are what the BA ‘needs to understand’ and ‘able to perform’.  The difference in these scope will become evident as we look at the KAs listed by each of the BOKs.  We can now say that the BABOK KAs are far more modest in scope than the SEBOKs.

The BABOK Knowledge Areas

The BABOK lists seven KAs:

1. Business Analysis Planning and Monitoring
2. Elicitation
3. Requirements Management and Communication
4. Enterprise Analysis
5. Requirements Analysis
6. Solution Assessment and Validation
7. Underlying Competencies

The BABOK KAs are closely related to skills.  One can develop ‘Business Analysis Planning and Monitoring’ skills, or ‘Elicitation’ skills.

The SEBOK Knowledge Areas

The SEBOK not only lists far more KAs than the BABOK, but the breadth and depth of the subject matter is in a different league.

The SEBOK KAs are divided into 5 Parts, each of which has KAs under it.  Here’s the full list of Parts and KAs under them:

1. Part 2 – Systems
   1. Systems Fundamentals
   2. Systems Science
   3. Systems Thinking
   4. Representing Systems with Models
   5. Systems Approach Applied to Engineered Systems
2. Part 3 – Systems Engineering and Management
   1. Life Cycle Models
   2. Concept Definition
   3. System Definition
   4. System Realization
   5. System Deployment and Use
   6. Systems Engineering Management
   7. Product and Service Life Management
   8. Systems Engineering Standard
3. Part 4 - Applications of Systems Engineering
   1. Product Systems Engineering
   2. Service Systems Engineering
   3. Enterprise Systems Engineering
   4. System of Systems
4. Part 5 – Enabling Systems Engineering
   1. Enabling Businesses and Enterprises
   2. Enabling Teams
   3. Enabling Individuals
5. Part 6 – Related Disciplines
   1. Systems Engineering and Software Engineering
   2. Systems Engineering and Project Management
   3. Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering
   4. Systems Engineering and Procurement / Acquisition
   5. Systems Engineering and Specialty Engineering

The SEBOK list of KAs is comprehensive, ranging from the abstract subject of Systems, down to performance assessment of individual SEs.

At a first approximation, it seems to me that the scope of the BABOK KAs fall within this subset of the SEBOK KAs

1. …
2. Part 3 – Systems Engineering and Management
   1. Life Cycle Models
   2. Concept Definition
   3. System Definition
   4. System Realization
   5. System Deployment and Use

No surprise, SE is far more broad than BA if the KAs are to be the basis.  But that is not the main point of this series.  The key interest is where they overlap.   We will look more closely at these overlapping KAs in the next parts.

Comparing the BABOK and the SEBOK, Part 2

Business Analysis and Systems Engineering seem to share a substantial in their perceived areas of scope, so it might be informative to see what their respective BOK Guides say about the other discipline.

Do They Know Each Other?

It is interesting that neither the term “Systems Engineering” nor its variant “System Engineering” appear in the BABOK.  This is strange because the BABOK authors are evidently aware of the SE discipline, since the BABOK Bibliography includes these two SE-centric books:

Stevens, Richard, Peter Brook, Ken Jackson, and Stuart Arnold. 1998. System Engineering, Coping with Complexity

Forsberg, Kevin, Hal Mooz, and Howard Cotter-man. 2005. Visualizing Project Management: Models and Frameworks for Mastering Complex Systems

As for the SEBOK, it mentions “business analysis” three times, each time using it as a synonym for mission analysis, such as in this extract:

MA, in some domains called market analysis (glossary) or business analysis, is the identification, characterization, and assessment of an operational problem or opportunity within an enterprise (p. 253).

Judging from this, the SEBOK considers business analysis as limited to mission analysis, which is only a part of the Concept Definition Phase

What is Business Analysis?

If Business Analysis is synonymous to Mission Analysis (according to SEBOK), it should be useful to compare and contrast BA as understood by the BABOK with MA as understood by the SEBOK. 

The table below lists the functions of BA as described by BABOK, and the functions of MA as described by SEBOK.  I tried to match them, with some degree of interpretive freedom on my part.

Business Analysis According to BABOK	Mission Analysis According to SEBOK
Liaison among stakeholders
Understand the structure, policies, and operations of an organisation
Recommend solutions that enable the organisation to achieve its goals	Analyse the solution space
Understanding how organisations functions to accomplish their purpose
Defining the capabilities an organisation requires to provide products and services
Definition of organisational goals
Define how goals connect to specific objectives
Determine courses of action that an organisation has to undertake to achieve those goals and objectives
Defining how the various organisational units and stakeholders within and outside the organisation interact.
	Establish a set of stakeholder requirements for a potential SoI (System-of-Interest)
	Focuses on the identification of the primary purpose(s) of the solution
	Part of the larger set of concept definition activities -
	Understand a mission / market problem or opportunity
	Initiate the life cycle of a potential solution that could address the problem or take advantage of an opportunity
	Define operational actions, not hardware / software functions; that is, it is focused on defining the problem space, not the solution space
	The primary products of MA are the revised ConOps of the enterprise, the operational concept, the operational scenarios for the mission, and the context in which the solution will exist.
	MA evaluates alternative approaches to determine which best supports the stakeholder needs (among both materiel and non-materiel solution alternatives, also known as product solutions and service/operational solutions).
	MA defines the problem space and analyses the solution space alternatives using quality attribute constraints driven by the enterprise objectives.

I could not match the two sets of functions and find very little, almost no direct intersection between what Business Analysis is according to BABOK, and what Mission Analysis is according to the SEBOK (which treats business analysis as a synonym for Mission Analysis.

And yet, my instinct tells me there is a strong intersection, it’s just that the two BOKs use very different terminology and very different ways of explaining.  (I find the BABOK a bit more refined in its explanations, while the SEBOK tend to ramble a bit).

Number of Pages

This is an easy comparison.  Version 2.0 of the BABOK has 253 pages.  The SEBOK is primarily laid to for reading online using a Wiki platform, but a PDF version is available for download.  This PDF runs to 850 pages.  Better have a full ream of office paper ready if you decide to print this.

Authors

The SEBOK lists 70 authors, some of whom I recognise as respected leaders in the SE discipline.  The ones I know by reputation include: Barry Boehm (but I know him from the software engineering field, not the SE field), Erik Aslaksen, Edmund Conrow, Dov Dori, Kevin Forsberg, and James Martin.

The BABOK also credits as Content Contributors about 19 names, of whom the only one I recognise (but recognise only the name, not what she’s about): Ellen Gottesdiener.  They do have an Expert Advisory and Review Group, from which I recognise the following names: Scott Ambler, Dean Leffingwell, Meilir Page-Jones, James Robertson, Suzanne Robertson, Steve Tockey.