Treating user stories as requirements may not be too different from asking users to estimate how long it takes to do their tasks and using those estimates as your project estimates.
Sep 25, 2024
Feb 23, 2024
Santayana
Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.
Those who are not aware of the past are condemned to repeat it.
History repeats itself because the past is not the dead past but a mirror (albeit incomplete) of the very much alive present and future.
Battle Success vs Project Success
Every battle between armies results in success for one side failure for one side. There is a winner and there is a loser (ignoring ties). That means 50% of battles are a success, and 50% of battles are failures.
In contrast, 60-70% of projects fail (according to popularised stats).
In other words, armies do better at succeeding against obstacles that ACTIVELY aim to LITERALLY devastate and rip them apart, than projects do against the comparatively passive triple constraints.
(I know there's fatal flaws in this argument, but still).
Aug 11, 2022
Favourite TV Series
Top favourite TV series, not in any order. The ones I can watch over and over:
- Buffy. All-time favourite. 'Once More With Feeling' is a supernatural tour de force. Perhaps the height of Joss Whedon's genius.
- Yellowstone. Screenwriting is brilliant. Compelling characters.
- Landman. Another Taylor Sheridan work.
- Silicon Valley. I can watch the whole series every year and not get tired. Some episodes are uncomfortable and I wish they can be PG'd: the grafitti with Chuy Ramirez, the stallion mating in the stable, the Satanic baptism.
- Fringe. Great fun because the science fiction covers physics, chemistry, biology, and not so much computers. Would not be as good without Walter and 'Asterisk'
- The Crown.
- Community. Really creative fun comedy.
- Lioness.
- Bosch. An ordinary police detective series that for some unexplainable reason is very good.
- Luther
- Line of Duty. One of the best ever detective shows.
- The Shield. Great dialogues. Forrest Whittaker's guest character is unmissable.
- Frasier
- Cosmos. The one with Carl Sagan.
- Cosmos A Spacetime Odyssey (Cosmos: Possible Worlds was, painfully, nowhere near as good as the first two)
- Firefly
- Friends
- Narcos
- Fawlty Towers
- Hot in Cleveland
- Belgravia
- Justified
- Cobra Kai. Nostalgia trip, but way better than the original 80's movies. William Zabka is the standout actor here.
- Sons of Anarchy
- John Adams
- Black Books. Crazy fun. Tamsein Greig at her best.
- Maybe:
- Picket Fences
- Northern Exposure
- Anne with an E. The first two seasons. The last season feels it became woke.
- The Big Bang Theory (maybe the first 2-3 seasons only)
- Sanditon
- The X-Files
- Sherlock
- Breaking Bad
- The Simpsons
- Downton Abbey
- Yes Minister / Yes Prime Minister
- The IT Crowd
- The Knick
- Poldark (2015)
- Jamestown
- Chernobyl
- Peaky Blinders
Jul 23, 2022
From Dreams to Reality
A dream written down with a date becomes a goal.
A goal written down with steps becomes a plan.
A plan backed by action becomes reality.
Jul 19, 2022
Razors
From https://twitter.com/SahilBloom
The Feynman Razor
If you can’t explain it to a 5-year-old, you don’t really understand it.
If someone uses a lot of complexity and jargon to explain something, they probably don’t understand it.
The Luck Razor
When choosing between two paths, choose the path that has a larger luck surface area. Your actions put you in a position where luck is more likely to strike. It’s hard to get lucky watching TV at home—it’s easy to get lucky when you’re engaging and learning.
The Arena Razor
When faced with two paths, choose the path that puts you in the arena. It's easy to throw rocks from the sidelines. It's scary and lonely in the arena—but it's where growth happens. Once you're in the arena, never take advice from people on the sidelines.
The Optimist Razor
When choosing who to spend time with, prioritize spending more time with optimists. Pessimists see closed doors. Optimists see open doors—and probably kick down the closed doors along the way. Remember: Pessimists sound smart, optimists get rich.
The Gratitude Razor
When in doubt, choose to show MORE gratitude to the people who have mentored or supported you. Say thank you more. Tell someone you appreciate them. Not just on special occasions—every single day. Lean into gratitude daily and your life will improve.
New Project Razor
When deciding whether to take on a new project: First, ask yourself if it's a "hell yes!" opportunity. If not, say no. If it is, imagine that it's going to take 2x as long and be 1/2 as profitable as you expect. If you still want to do it, say yes.
The Uphill Decision Razor
When faced with two options, choose the one that’s more difficult in the short-term. @naval calls this making "uphill decisions”—a forced override of your pain avoidance instinct. It's worth it—short-term pain creates compounding long-term gain.
The Invested vs. Spent Test
Time is either *invested* or *spent*. Invested time—actions that compound:
- Reading
- Physical activity
- Mindfulness
- Relationship building
The Rooms Razor
If you have a choice between entering two rooms, choose the room where you're more likely to be the dumbest one in the room. Once you're in the room, talk less and listen more. Bad for your ego—great for your growth.
Occam's Razor
When you're weighing alternative explanations for something, the one with the fewest necessary assumptions should be chosen. Put simply, the simplest explanation is often the best one. Simple Assumptions > Complex Assumptions. Simple is beautiful.
Listen Mode
If you encounter someone with opinions or perspectives very different from your own, listen twice as much as you speak. Our natural tendency when we hear a view we disagree with is to respond and refute it. Default to Listen Mode. You'll learn way more that way.
The Lion Razor
If you have the choice, always choose to sprint and then rest. Most people are not wired to work 9-5—long periods of steady, monotonous work. If your goal is to do inspired, creative work, you have to work like a lion. Sprint when inspired. Rest. Repeat.
The Smart Friends Razor
If your smartest friends are all interested in something, it’s worth paying attention to. If that something seems crazy, it's worth paying a lot of attention to. The passions of the smartest people in your circles are a looking glass into the future.
The Young & Old Test
Make decisions that your 80-year old self and 10-year-old self would be proud of. Your 80-year-old self cares about the long-term compounding of the decisions of today. Your 10-year-old self reminds you to stay foolish and have some fun along the way.
The Duck Test
If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it’s probably a duck. You can determine a lot about a person by observing their habitual actions and characteristics. When someone tells you who they are, believe them the first time.
Hanlon's Razor
Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity. In assessing someone's actions, we shouldn't assume negative intent if there's a viable alternative explanation—different beliefs, lack of intelligence, incompetence, or ignorance.
Hitchens’ Razor
Anything asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence. Newton’s Flaming Laser Sword If something cannot be settled by reasonable experiment or observation, it's not worth debating. *These will save you from wasting time on pointless arguments!*
The Opinion Razor
"I never allow myself to have an opinion on anything that I don’t know the other side’s argument better than they do." - Charlie Munger Opinions are earned—not owed. If you can't state state the opposition's argument clearly, you haven't earned an opinion.
The Writing Knife Block
If you're struggling to understand something, try writing it out. When you write, you expose the gaps that exist in your logic and thinking. Study to fill the gaps. Writing is the ultimate tool to sharpen thinking--use it as a "knife block" for life.
Taleb’s “Look the Part” Test
If forced to choose between two options of seemingly equal merit, choose the one that doesn’t look the part. The one who doesn’t look the part has had to overcome much more to achieve its status than the one who fit in perfectly.
The Braggers Razor
Truly successful people rarely feel the need to brag about their success. If someone regularly brags about their wealth or success, it's fair to assume the reality is likely a small fraction of what they claim.
The Reading Razor
When deciding what to read, just read whatever grabs you. When it stops grabbing you, put it down. Avoid the trap of only reading “impressive" books that bore you to death. Never establish reading vanity metrics as goals.
The Stress-Reward Test
Too many people take on stress that has no upside. If something is going to be stressful, consider whether the reward is sufficiently outsized to justify the stress. If it isn't, don't take it on.
Jul 12, 2022
Market Operations Books
Some books on market operations:
Baker, Robert P. The Trade Lifecycle: Behind the Scenes of the Trading Process 2nd Ed (2005).
Dickinson, Keith. Financial Markets Operations Management (2015).
Loader, David. Clearing, Settlement and Custody 2nd Edition (2013).
Loader, David. Clearing, Settlement and Custody 3rd Edition (2019).
Simmons, Michael. Securities Operations: A Guide to Trade and Position Management (2002).
Simmons, Michael and Dalgleish, Elaine. Corporate Actions: A Guide to Securities Event Management (2006).
Weiss, David M. After the Trade Is Made, Revised Ed.: Processing Securities Transactions (2006).
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